I came across a pretty fascinating site called Cool Standings. These guys simulate the entire remaining MLB schedule 1 million times and then report the percentage of times that each team wins its division and the Wild Card. That means that schedule strength is factored in. They say that the Dodgers have only an 8.2% chance of winning the NL West and a 6.6% chance of grabbing the Wild Card. In other words, stick fork in 'em. The Dodger are through for 20.
The Blue have 22 home games and 24 away games left, and 32 of those games are against teams with winning records. Despite being only 2 games out of the Wild Card, this just doesn't look good.
August has been Little Big Horn, Waterloo, the Hindenburgh....you name the disaster, and it's a good comparison for the way LA has been playing. They won 5 outta 6 coming out of the All Star Break, and, since then, they are 6-15. Over that span, they are scoring just 3.5 runs per game, and they have been hut out 4 times and held to 2 runs or less 11 times.
I've said all year long that Arizona is the team that the Dodgers should be afraid of, and they look like their beginning to run away with a 4 game lead. We're very close to "recess time" for LA. In other words, let the kids come out and play. Andy LaRoche and Delwyn Young should get a call-up and Matt Kemp, James Loney and Andre Ethier should be playing every day.
The Angels, by the way, have an 87% chance of winning the AL West according to Cool Standings, and there's a 90% chance of either winning the division or securing the Wild Card.
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